PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Mirassol 2–2 Santos · Serie A

2–2Full-time analysis

Santos

LDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Mirassol and Santos drew 2–2.

Shots
2016
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
1.51.73
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol and Santos drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Santos): shots 20–16, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 1.5–1.73, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos have a visible away split

weak

Santos's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersMirassol · Santos● 7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricMirassolSantosBaseline
Corners6 corners/match7 corners/match5.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots16 shotsMirassol 20 shots, Santos 16 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsMirassol 9 shots, Santos 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG1.73 xGMirassol 1.5 xG, Santos 1.73 xG
  • Possession54%46%Mirassol 54%, Santos 46%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersMirassol 6 corners, Santos 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsMirassol 9 fouls, Santos 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mirassol
2Draws
1Santos
Santos — Mirassol · Serie A1–1
Mirassol — Santos · Serie A3–0
Santos — Mirassol · Serie B3–2
Mirassol — Santos · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol4 matchesSantos5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/51.6 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/52 goals/match
14.8 shots/matchShots4/514.2 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53.8 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession4/549.4%
6 corners/matchCorners4/5● 7 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/43 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsMirassolSantos
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headMirassol — Santos
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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