PitchMath
Serie A · 2026Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia 1–1 Vitória · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bahia and Vitória drew 1–1.

Shots
136
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.950.43
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia and Vitoria drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Vitoria): shots 13–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.95–0.43, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsBahia 13 shots, Vitória 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsBahia 7 shots, Vitória 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.43 xGBahia 1.95 xG, Vitória 0.43 xG
  • Possession63%37%Bahia 63%, Vitória 37%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersBahia 7 corners, Vitória 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls19 foulsBahia 17 fouls, Vitória 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bahia
1Draws
1Vitória
Vitória — Bahia · Serie A2–1
Bahia — Vitória · Serie A2–1
Bahia — Vitória · Serie A2–0
Vitória — Bahia · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia4 matchesVitória4 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored4/41.25 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44 shots/match
46% ●Possession4/440.8%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44.5 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/415 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsBahiaVitória
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headBahia — Vitória
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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