Serie A · 2026

Internacional 0–1 Bahia · Serie A

0–1Full-time analysis

Bahia

WDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 0–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.80.85
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Internacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Bahia): shots 14–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.8–0.85, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Internacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsInternacional · Bahia11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInternacionalBahiaBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Internacional, Bahia.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysInternacional · Bahia3.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInternacionalBahiaBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.83 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bahia have a visible away split

weak

Bahia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsInternacional 14 shots, Bahia 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotInternacional 2 shots, Bahia 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.8 xG0.85 xGInternacional 1.8 xG, Bahia 0.85 xG
  • Possession53%47%Internacional 53%, Bahia 47%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerInternacional 7 corners, Bahia 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls20 foulsInternacional 20 fouls, Bahia 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Internacional
2Draws
2Bahia
Internacional — Bahia · Serie A2–2
Bahia — Internacional · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Internacional · Serie A1–1
Internacional — Bahia · Serie A2–1
Bahia — Internacional · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional6 matchesBahia5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots6/511.6 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/54.6 shots/match
57.3% ●Possession6/546.2%
11 corners/match ●Corners6/54.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/34 cards/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls6/515.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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