Serie A · 2026Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia 2–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Bahia

WDWDW
2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.981.41
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat RB Bragantino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – RB Bragantino): shots 15–15, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.98–1.41, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, RB Bragantino.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysBahia · RB Bragantino2.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaRB BragantinoBaseline
Rest days3.12 days2.94 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bahia have a visible home split

weak

Bahia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RB Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBahia · RB Bragantino15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBahiaRB BragantinoBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsBahia 15 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsBahia 9 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG1.41 xGBahia 1.98 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.41 xG
  • Possession57%43%Bahia 57%, Red Bull Bragantino 43%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersBahia 7 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsBahia 15 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Bahia
0Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Bahia — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Bahia · Serie A0–3
Red Bull Bragantino — Bahia · Serie A2–1
Bahia — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 2 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia6 matchesRed Bull Bragantino7 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.71 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.14 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.22 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 15.9 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target6/75.14 shots/match
48%Possession6/7● 50.1%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/75 corners/match
4 cards/matchCards3/45.25 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls6/717.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Mar 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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