Serie A · 2026Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Santos 1–1 Corinthians · Serie A

Santos

LDLWD
1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santos and Corinthians drew 1–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.030.33
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos and Corinthians drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Corinthians): shots 11–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.03–0.33, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians have a visible away split

weak

Corinthians's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match9.83 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Corinthians.

4.77 days ▲Rest daysSantos · Corinthians3.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSantosCorinthiansBaseline
Rest days4.77 days3.77 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santos's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsSantos 11 shots, Corinthians 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSantos 4 shots, Corinthians 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.03 xG0.33 xGSantos 1.03 xG, Corinthians 0.33 xG
  • Possession44%56%Santos 44%, Corinthians 56%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSantos 4 corners, Corinthians 6 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsSantos 20 fouls, Corinthians 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
1Draws
3Corinthians
Santos — Corinthians · Serie A3–1
Corinthians — Santos · Serie A1–0
Corinthians — Santos · Serie A1–1
Santos — Corinthians · Serie A0–2
Santos — Corinthians · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos6 matchesCorinthians6 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1 goal/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.83 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match
48.5%Possession6/6● 57.5%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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