Vitória
Serie A · 2026Vitória 2–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Vitória won 2–0.
- Shots
- 9–12
- Shots on target
- 4–3
- Expected goals
- 0.33–0.97
- Possession
- 33%–67%
Full time
What the match recorded
Vitoria beat Atletico-MG 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vitoria – Atletico-MG): shots 9–12, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.33–0.97, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitoria, Atletico-MG.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Vitoria | Atletico-MG | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 2.94 days | 2.98 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 1 match | 1 match | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Vitoria have a visible home split
weakVitoria's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 shots/match | 10.8 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateAtletico-MG have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Vitoria | Atletico-MG | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 39.2% | 50.3% | 50.5% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Vitória favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 1 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
Vitória / Atlético Mineiro
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
More football
Related matches
Bahia
Internacional
Botafogo
Flamengo
Fluminense
AthleticoTeam rankings in Serie A
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.