Serie A · 2026MRV Arena

Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Internacional · Serie A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 1–0.

Shots
719
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.681.82
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico-MG beat Internacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico-MG – Internacional): shots 7–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.68–1.82, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Internacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtletico-MG · Internacional18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico-MGInternacionalBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against17.6 shots/match11 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Internacional have a visible away split

weak

Internacional's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Internacional have recorded the higher season possession share.

47%PossessionAtletico-MG · Internacional● 58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtletico-MGInternacionalBaseline
Possession47%58.2%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots19 shotsAtlético Mineiro 7 shots, Internacional 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 3 shots, Internacional 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.82 xGAtlético Mineiro 0.68 xG, Internacional 1.82 xG
  • Possession35%65%Atlético Mineiro 35%, Internacional 65%
  • Corners2 corners14 cornersAtlético Mineiro 2 corners, Internacional 14 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls20 foulsAtlético Mineiro 16 fouls, Internacional 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Mineiro
1Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–0
Atlético Mineiro — Internacional · Serie A2–0
Atlético Mineiro — Internacional · Serie A1–3
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–2
Internacional — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro5 matchesInternacional5 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 18.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
47%Possession5/5● 58.2%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 11.8 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Mar 2026, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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