Serie A · 2026Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos

Botafogo 0–3 Flamengo · Serie A

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 0–3.

Shots
718
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.721.16
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Botafogo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Flamengo): shots 7–18, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.72–1.16, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo · Flamengo14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogoFlamengoBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match14.6 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match9.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Flamengo.

30 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · Flamengo2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoFlamengoBaseline
Rest days30 days2.96 days—
Matches last 14 days0 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots18 shotsBotafogo 7 shots, Flamengo 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsBotafogo 1 shot, Flamengo 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG1.16 xGBotafogo 0.72 xG, Flamengo 1.16 xG
  • Possession42%58%Botafogo 42%, Flamengo 58%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersBotafogo 2 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsBotafogo 16 fouls, Flamengo 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo
1Draws
2Flamengo
Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A0–3
Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–0
Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A4–1
Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–2
Botafogo — Flamengo · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo4 matchesFlamengo5 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.8 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
7.75 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 5 shots/match
48.8%Possession4/5● 56.4%
1.75 corners/matchCorners4/5● 4 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/32.67 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls4/516.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Mar 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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