Vasco da Gama
Serie A · 2026Vasco da Gama 2–1 Palmeiras · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Vasco da Gama won 2–1.
- Shots
- 17–8
- Shots on target
- 6–3
- Expected goals
- 1–0.63
- Possession
- 50%–50%
Full time
What the match recorded
Vasco DA Gama beat Palmeiras 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco DA Gama – Palmeiras): shots 17–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1–0.63, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Vasco DA Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateVasco DA Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 20.4 shots/match | 12.6 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 8.8 shots/match | 17 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Vasco DA Gama have a visible home split
weakVasco DA Gama's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 24.3 shots/match | 20.4 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateVasco DA Gama have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 58.2% | 46.2% | 50.9% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 2 · 5 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Vasco da Gama / Palmeiras
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
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