São Paulo
Serie A · 2026São Paulo 2–0 Chapecoense · Serie A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
São Paulo won 2–0.
- Shots
- 18–7
- Shots on target
- 7–1
- Expected goals
- 1.47–0.57
- Possession
- 63%–37%
Full time
What the match recorded
Sao Paulo beat Chapecoense-sc 2–0. Recorded in this match (Sao Paulo – Chapecoense-sc): shots 18–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.47–0.57, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Sao Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakSao Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Chapecoense-sc | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 12.8 shots/match | 10.8 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11.4 shots/match | 21.5 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Sao Paulo have a visible home split
weakSao Paulo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15.3 shots/match | 12.8 shots/match | 13 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakSao Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Sao Paulo | Chapecoense-sc | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 53.8% | 38.8% | 50.9% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: São Paulo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 0 · 11 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
São Paulo / Chapecoense
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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