Serie A · 2026

Chapecoense 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

Grêmio

LWLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
1.110.69
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense-sc and Gremio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Chapecoense-sc – Gremio): shots 11–13, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 1.11–0.69, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gremio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gremio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsChapecoense-sc · Gremio12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricChapecoense-scGremioBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against19.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chapecoense-sc, Gremio.

4 days ▲Rest daysChapecoense-sc · Gremio3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricChapecoense-scGremioBaseline
Rest days4 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Chapecoense-sc have a visible home split

weak

Chapecoense-sc's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsChapecoense 11 shots, Grêmio 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsChapecoense 1 shot, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.69 xGChapecoense 1.11 xG, Grêmio 0.69 xG
  • Possession35%65%Chapecoense 35%, Grêmio 65%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersChapecoense 4 corners, Grêmio 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsChapecoense 16 fouls, Grêmio 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chapecoense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chapecoense5 matchesGrêmio6 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/61.67 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/6▲ 12.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/6▲ 4.83 shots/match
38%Possession5/6● 50.2%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/6● 4.67 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards3/42.5 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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