Major League Soccer · 2026

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.371.74
Expected goals
2.031.45
Shots
15.211.2
Possession
56.7%45.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: inter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.37 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter Miami's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsInter Miami · Charlotte11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInter MiamiCharlotteBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter Miami have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7% ●PossessionInter Miami · Charlotte45.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricInter MiamiCharlotteBaseline
Possession56.7%45.8%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter Miami CF favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Charlotte FC in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter Miami CF27 matchesCharlotte FC27 matches
2.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.74 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.41 goals/match
2.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.45 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.2 shots/match
6.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.78 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession27/2745.8%
5.26 corners/match ●Corners27/274.48 corners/match
3.83 cards/matchCards6/102.7 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls27/279.81 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter Miami CF
2Draws
1Charlotte FC
Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer0–0
Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer3–0
Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer1–0
Inter Miami CF — Charlotte FC · Major League Soccer1–1
Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

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