St.Louis City 3–3 FC Dallas · Major League Soccer
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
St.Louis City and FC Dallas drew 3–3.
- Shots
- 10–12
- Shots on target
- 5–7
- Expected goals
- 1.75–0.79
- Possession
- 53%–47%
Full time
What the match recorded
St.Louis City and FC Dallas drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (St.Louis City – FC Dallas): shots 10–12, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.75–0.79, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
St.Louis City's recent record differs from the season
moderateSt.Louis City's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 goals/match | 1.5 goals/match | 1.56 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Both teams have elevated fouls records
moderateEach team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | St.Louis City | FC Dallas | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fouls | 13.5 fouls/match | 13.5 fouls/match | 11.7 fouls/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Dallas.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | St.Louis City | FC Dallas | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 7.94 days | 7.9 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 3′Simon BecherGoal · St.Louis City
- 14′RamiroYellow card · FC Dallas
- 18′Shaq MooreGoal · FC Dallas
- 43′Daniel EdelmanGoal · St.Louis City
- Half-time
- 64′Carlo HolseGoal · St.Louis City
- 81′Sebastien IbeaghaGoal · FC Dallas
- 89′Petar MusaYellow card · FC Dallas
- 90′Lukas MacNaughtonYellow card · St.Louis City
- 90′Logan FarringtonGoal · FC Dallas
- Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
- 59′FC Dallas · 2 player changesChristian Cappis · Ran Binyamin
- 59′St.Louis City · 1 player changeCarlo Holse
- 68′FC Dallas · 1 player changeNolan Norris
- 69′FC Dallas · 1 player changeLogan Farrington
- 73′St.Louis City · 1 player changeZach Zengue
- 88′St.Louis City · 1 player changeLukas MacNaughton
- 89′FC Dallas · 1 player changeSam Sarver
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: St.Louis City favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · FC Dallas in 2 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
St.Louis City / FC Dallas
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Team rankings in Major League Soccer
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
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