Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTCScheduledProvidence ParkPre-match analysis

Portland Timbers

DLLWD

vsPre-match analysis

Seattle Sounders

WLLLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portland Timbers's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.2 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsPortland Timbers · Seattle Sounders13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Portland Timbers	Seattle Sounders	Baseline
Shots	12.9 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Seattle Sounders have a visible away split

moderate

Seattle Sounders's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.4 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Portland Timbers

0Draws

0Seattle Sounders

17 Jul 2026Seattle Sounders — Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer1–5

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Portland Timbers favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 7 · 6 too close

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/151.27 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/121.48 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/12▲1.33 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1513.5 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/15▲13.1 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/15▲5.33 shots/match

6.69 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/15▲4.53 shots/match

50.6%Possessionseason · 16/1552.7%

4.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match

6.44 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/156.27 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 5/32 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/159.07 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲33%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/15▲80%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Portland Timbers58.3

Seattle Sounders70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Portland Timbers56.7

Seattle Sounders53.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Portland Timbers13.3

Seattle Sounders55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Portland Timbers45

Seattle Sounders48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers45

Seattle Sounders13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Portland Timbers28.3

Seattle Sounders70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Portland Timbers33.8

Seattle Sounders55.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.79 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.61 xG/match

16.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match

5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match

58.6%Possession5/553.6%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.56 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.67 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots10/1014.9 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.8 shots/match

55%Possession10/1054.3%

4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scored16/151.27 goals/match

1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.43 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.48 xG/match

12.9 shots/matchShots16/1513.5 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲5.33 shots/match

50.6%Possession16/1552.7%

4.44 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards5/32 cards/match

9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/159.07 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/80.75 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/8▲0.88 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.1 xG/match

12.1 shots/match▲Shots7/811.4 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/84.38 shots/match

53.4%Possession7/853%

3.57 corners/matchCorners7/84.88 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/2—

9.71 fouls/matchFouls7/810.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.1 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Portland Timbers's recent record differs from the season

Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record

Seattle Sounders have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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