Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTCScheduledPre-match analysis

Colorado Rapids

LWLLW

vsPre-match analysis

Austin

DLLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Colorado Rapids's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.8 goals/match	1.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

moderate

Colorado Rapids's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.1 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Colorado Rapids show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Colorado Rapids's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsColorado Rapids · Austin10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Colorado Rapids	Austin	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Colorado Rapids favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 1 · 5 too close

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/162 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/130.95 xG/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/132.14 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1610.2 shots/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1617.6 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164 shots/match

4.44 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/166.88 shots/match

55.4%Possessionseason · 16/1647.4%

4.81 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.31 corners/match

4.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/166.31 corners/match

3.57 cards/matchCardsseason · 7/32 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Colorado Rapids85

Austin35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Colorado Rapids26.7

Austin15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Colorado Rapids64.5

Austin8.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Colorado Rapids5

Austin21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids95

Austin25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Colorado Rapids51.7

Austin16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Colorado Rapids43

Austin13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

0.77 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.73 xG/match

9.4 shots/matchShots5/59 shots/match

2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match

53.4%Possession5/547.4%

6.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match

1.05 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.92 xG/match

9.9 shots/matchShots10/1010.1 shots/match

3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.2 shots/match

56.7%Possession10/1048.3%

4.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

4 cards/matchCards3/0—

13.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.95 xG/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.2 shots/match

4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/164 shots/match

55.4%Possession16/1647.4%

4.81 corners/matchCorners16/164.31 corners/match

3.57 cards/matchCards7/32 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

2.29 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.25 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/83.13 goals/match

1.44 xG/match▲Expected goals5/70.93 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots7/88.5 shots/match

5.14 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83 shots/match

56%Possession7/840.6%

5.71 corners/matchCorners7/83.25 corners/match

2.8 cards/matchCards5/1—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls7/811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Colorado Rapids's recent record differs from the season

Colorado Rapids have a visible home split

Colorado Rapids show a distinct attacking-volume record

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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