Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledAllianz FieldPre-match analysis

Minnesota United FC

DLLDL

vsPre-match analysis

San Diego

DWDLL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: San Diego's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: San Diego's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

weak

San Diego's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.8 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

San Diego have a visible away split

moderate

San Diego's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	11.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

San Diego have recorded the higher season possession share.

48%▲PossessionMinnesota United FC · San Diego60.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Minnesota United FC	San Diego	Baseline
Possession	48%	60.8%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Minnesota United FC

0Draws

0San Diego

12 Apr 2026San Diego — Minnesota United FC · Major League Soccer1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · San Diego in 3 · 6 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1.88 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 16/161.75 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/131.43 xG/match

1.35 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/131.9 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.2 shots/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 16/1613.4 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/164.44 shots/match

4.63 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 16/165.44 shots/match

48%Possessionseason · 16/1660.8%

5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/164.56 corners/match

5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲3.94 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/82.88 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1611.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1625%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC41.7

San Diego98.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC38.9

San Diego41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC52.8

San Diego28.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC61.7

San Diego1.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC30

San Diego50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC63.3

San Diego40

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC57.1

San Diego29.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.49 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.61 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/555.4%

6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

—Cards0/1—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

1.57 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.48 xG/match

14.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.2 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.3 shots/match

51.5%Possession10/1058.8%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.3 corners/match

—Cards1/33.67 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1.88 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.43 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.2 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on target16/164.44 shots/match

48%Possession16/1660.8%

5.25 corners/matchCorners16/164.56 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCards4/82.88 cards/match

12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲1 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.58 xG/match▲Expected goals6/61.3 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots7/79 shots/match

3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

50.1%Possession7/759.4%

5.29 corners/matchCorners7/73.86 corners/match

—Cards1/33.33 cards/match

11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.96 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Aug 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

San Diego's recent record differs from the season

San Diego have a visible away split

The teams have contrasting possession records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match