Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledAllianz FieldPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Vancouver Whitecaps. A second useful context is: Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Minnesota United FC, Vancouver Whitecaps.

3 daysRest daysMinnesota United FC · Vancouver Whitecaps3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMinnesota United FCVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Rest days3 days3.04 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches1 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vancouver Whitecaps show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/matchShotsMinnesota United FC · Vancouver Whitecaps17.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMinnesota United FCVancouver WhitecapsBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match17.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match8.33 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Minnesota United FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Minnesota United FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Minnesota United FC
0Draws
1Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver WhitecapsMinnesota United FC · Major League Soccer60

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Minnesota United FC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Vancouver Whitecaps in 11 · 3 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/152.47 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/151.07 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/122.4 xG/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/120.97 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1517.5 shots/match
12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/158.33 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/156.8 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/153 shots/match
48%Possessionseason · 16/1554.9%
5.25 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match
5.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/153.27 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/52.8 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1515.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1533%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1587%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Minnesota United FC41.7
Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Minnesota United FC38.9
Vancouver Whitecaps95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Minnesota United FC52.8
Vancouver Whitecaps96.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Minnesota United FC61.7
Vancouver Whitecaps95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC30
Vancouver Whitecaps81.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Minnesota United FC63.3
Vancouver Whitecaps70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Minnesota United FC57.1
Vancouver Whitecaps90.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.49 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.6 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/56.4 shots/match
57.6%Possession5/555.6%
6 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/2
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.3 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals10/102.38 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots10/1019.2 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/107.1 shots/match
51.5%Possession10/1053.8%
5.8 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards1/2
11.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/152.47 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.07 goals/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals13/122.4 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots16/1517.5 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target16/156.8 shots/match
48%Possession16/1554.9%
5.25 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match
1.25 cards/matchCards4/52.8 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1515.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/72.29 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.79 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots7/716.6 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/76.57 shots/match
50.1%Possession7/756.6%
5.29 corners/matchCorners7/74.14 corners/match
Cards1/33.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/714 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.04 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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