Major League Soccer · 2026Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTCScheduledShell Energy StadiumPre-match analysis

Houston Dynamo

WLWDD

vsPre-match analysis

Austin

DLLLW

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Houston Dynamo, Austin. A second useful context is: Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Houston Dynamo, Austin.

3 days▲Rest daysHouston Dynamo · Austin3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Austin	Baseline
Rest days	3 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	1 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Houston Dynamo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsHouston Dynamo · Austin10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Houston Dynamo	Austin	Baseline
Shots	13.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	12.2 shots/match	17.6 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Austin have a visible away split

moderate

Austin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.5 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Houston Dynamo

0Draws

1Austin

26 Apr 2026Austin — Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Houston Dynamo favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Austin in 1 · 4 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/161.38 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/162 goals/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/130.95 xG/match

1.24 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 13/132.14 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1610.2 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 15/1617.6 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/164 shots/match

4.07 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/166.88 shots/match

44.4%Possessionseason · 15/1647.4%

4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/164.31 corners/match

4.8 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/166.31 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 6/32 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1611 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1625%

73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/16▲81%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Houston Dynamo11.7

Austin35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Houston Dynamo48.3

Austin15.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Houston Dynamo61.1

Austin8.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Houston Dynamo88.3

Austin21.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo50

Austin25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Houston Dynamo21.7

Austin16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Houston Dynamo41.6

Austin13.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

0.96 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.73 xG/match

14 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

48.6%Possession5/547.4%

2.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match

1.03 xG/match▲Expected goals10/100.92 xG/match

13.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match

5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

45.5%Possession10/1048.3%

3.2 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match

—Cards2/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

15 / 16 matches

1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/161.38 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/162 goals/match

1.09 xG/match▲Expected goals13/130.95 xG/match

13.5 shots/match▲Shots15/1610.2 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/164 shots/match

44.4%Possession15/1647.4%

4.4 corners/matchCorners15/164.31 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards6/32 cards/match

10.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1611 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.25 goals/match

0.88 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/83.13 goals/match

0.89 xG/matchExpected goals6/70.93 xG/match

13.3 shots/match▲Shots8/88.5 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83 shots/match

44%Possession8/840.6%

5 corners/matchCorners8/83.25 corners/match

2.6 cards/matchCards5/1—

9.75 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples15 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Houston Dynamo show a distinct attacking-volume record

Austin have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match