Major League Soccer · 2026Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 00:30 UTCFull timeQ2 StadiumFull-time recap

Austin

WDLLL

3–1Full-time recap

Seattle Sounders

DWLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Austin	Seattle Sounders
Shots	10 shots/match	10 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.08 xG/match	1.44 xG/match▲
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Seattle Sounders's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match▲ShotsAustin · Seattle Sounders13.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Austin	Seattle Sounders	Baseline
Shots	10.2 shots/match	13.5 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	17.6 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

weak

Seattle Sounders's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.27 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Austin have a visible home split

moderate

Austin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.9 shots/match	10.2 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Austin favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 8 · 5 too close

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/151.27 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/15▲1.27 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/12▲1.48 xG/match

2.14 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/12▲1.33 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/15▲13.5 shots/match

17.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/15▲13.1 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/15▲5.33 shots/match

6.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/15▲4.53 shots/match

47.4%Possessionseason · 16/1552.7%

4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match

6.31 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/156.27 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 3/32 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/159.07 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/15▲33%

81%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Austin35

Seattle Sounders70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Austin15.5

Seattle Sounders53.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Austin8.9

Seattle Sounders55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Austin21.7

Seattle Sounders48.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Austin25

Seattle Sounders13.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Austin16.7

Seattle Sounders70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Austin13.8

Seattle Sounders55.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

0.73 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.61 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.8 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.4 shots/match

47.4%Possession5/553.6%

3.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

2.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲1.67 xG/match

10.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.9 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.8 shots/match

48.3%Possession10/1054.3%

3.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches

1.38 goals/match▲Goals scored16/151.27 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/15▲1.27 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/12▲1.48 xG/match

10.2 shots/matchShots16/15▲13.5 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target16/15▲5.33 shots/match

47.4%Possession16/1552.7%

4.31 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls16/159.07 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

8 / 8 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match

0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/80.88 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲1.1 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots8/811.4 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match

54.1%Possession8/853%

5.38 corners/matchCorners8/84.88 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

60.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 15home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Jul 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Seattle Sounders show a distinct attacking-volume record

Seattle Sounders's recent record differs from the season

Austin have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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