Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledSubaru ParkPre-match analysis
vsPre-match analysis

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Seattle Sounders. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Philadelphia Union's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Philadelphia Union's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Philadelphia Union, Seattle Sounders.

3 daysRest daysPhiladelphia Union · Seattle Sounders2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPhiladelphia UnionSeattle SoundersBaseline
Rest days3 days2.96 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Seattle Sounders have a visible away split

moderate

Seattle Sounders's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Philadelphia Union favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Seattle Sounders in 5 · 4 too close

1.31 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/151.27 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/151.27 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/121.48 xG/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/121.33 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/1513.5 shots/match
9.38 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/1513.1 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/155.33 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/154.53 shots/match
45.4%Possessionseason · 16/1552.7%
5.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/155.33 corners/match
3.19 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/156.27 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/32 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/159.07 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1533%
69%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Philadelphia Union18.3
Seattle Sounders70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Philadelphia Union46.1
Seattle Sounders53.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Philadelphia Union70
Seattle Sounders55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Philadelphia Union98.3
Seattle Sounders48.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union95
Seattle Sounders13.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 60%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Philadelphia Union86.7
Seattle Sounders70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Philadelphia Union76.2
Seattle Sounders55.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
2.2 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
18.6 shots/matchShots5/513.8 shots/match
6.4 shots/matchShots on target5/55.4 shots/match
38.8%Possession5/553.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.67 xG/match
16.2 shots/matchShots10/1014.9 shots/match
5.3 shots/matchShots on target10/105.8 shots/match
43.2%Possession10/1054.3%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
Cards1/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls10/108.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 15 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/151.27 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/151.27 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.48 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots16/1513.5 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target16/155.33 shots/match
45.4%Possession16/1552.7%
5.88 corners/matchCorners16/155.33 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls16/159.07 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/80.75 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed7/80.88 goals/match
1.54 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.1 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots7/811.4 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/84.38 shots/match
46.7%Possession7/853%
7.29 corners/matchCorners7/84.88 corners/match
Cards2/2
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/810.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.96 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples16 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness3 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jul 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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