Major League Soccer · 2026Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTCScheduledNu StadiumPre-match analysis

Inter Miami

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vsPre-match analysis

Columbus Crew

LLDWL

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Inter Miami's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter Miami's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.63 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	4 goals/match	2.63 goals/match	1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Inter Miami have a visible home split

moderate

Inter Miami's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	16.1 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Inter Miami favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Columbus Crew in 4 · 4 too close

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 16/161.38 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.56 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 13/131.09 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/13▲1.17 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 16/1611.5 shots/match

12.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲9.56 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 16/164.06 shots/match

4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲4 shots/match

57.4%Possessionseason · 16/1657.4%

6 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/165.25 corners/match

3.38 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 16/163.63 corners/match

3 cards/matchCardsseason · 4/41.25 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1610.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/1619%

88%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 16/1681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Inter Miami91.7

Columbus Crew95

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Inter Miami97.2

Columbus Crew25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Inter Miami33.9

Columbus Crew76.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Inter Miami71.7

Columbus Crew8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami75

Columbus Crew9.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 63%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Inter Miami91.7

Columbus Crew63.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Inter Miami88.3

Columbus Crew30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

2.82 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.27 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/59.8 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

55%Possession5/561.2%

6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

3.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.6 goals/match

2.5 xG/match▲Expected goals10/101.17 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

7.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

55.1%Possession10/1060.2%

6.5 corners/matchCorners10/104.4 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

16 / 16 matches

2.63 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.38 goals/match

1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲1.56 goals/match

2.38 xG/match▲Expected goals13/131.09 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1611.5 shots/match

6.88 shots/match▲Shots on target16/164.06 shots/match

57.4%Possession16/1657.4%

6 corners/matchCorners16/165.25 corners/match

3 cards/matchCards4/41.25 cards/match

12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches

2.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/81.5 goals/match

2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/82.13 goals/match

3.12 xG/match▲Expected goals7/61.02 xG/match

19.7 shots/match▲Shots7/811 shots/match

8.57 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83.88 shots/match

59.4%Possession7/856.4%

7.86 corners/matchCorners7/86 corners/match

—Cards0/2—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/810.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

10 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples16 / 16home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Inter Miami's recent record differs from the season

Inter Miami have a visible home split

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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