PitchMath
Major League Soccer · 2026
0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Los Angeles FC won 0–3.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.81.96
Possession
59%41%

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsLA Galaxy 10 shots, Los Angeles FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsLA Galaxy 2 shots, Los Angeles FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1.96 xGLA Galaxy 0.8 xG, Los Angeles FC 1.96 xG
  • Possession59%41%LA Galaxy 59%, Los Angeles FC 41%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersLA Galaxy 9 corners, Los Angeles FC 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsLA Galaxy 13 fouls, Los Angeles FC 11 fouls

Full time

What the match recorded

Los Angeles FC beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3–0. Recorded in this match (Los Angeles Galaxy – Los Angeles FC): shots 10–13, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.8–1.96, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Los Angeles FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Los Angeles FC's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match14 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.44 corners/matchCornersLos Angeles Galaxy · Los Angeles FC● 5.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLos Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FCBaseline
Corners5.44 corners/match5.75 corners/match4.73 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1LA Galaxy
2Draws
2Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer0–3
Los Angeles FC — LA Galaxy · Major League Soccer3–3
LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer2–2
LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer4–2
LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: LA Galaxy favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Los Angeles FC in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

LA Galaxy16 matchesLos Angeles FC16 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.69 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.25 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.88 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession16/1647.5%
5.44 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.75 corners/match
2.75 cards/matchCards4/32 cards/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.9 fouls/match

Style profile

Style profile

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

LA Galaxy61.7
Los Angeles FC35.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

LA Galaxy55.5
Los Angeles FC68.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

LA Galaxy58.3
Los Angeles FC85.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

LA Galaxy51.7
Los Angeles FC78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy34.1
Los Angeles FC36.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 59%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

LA Galaxy75.0
Los Angeles FC85.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

LA Galaxy55.4
Los Angeles FC68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
55 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/154.1 days

LA Galaxy / Los Angeles FC

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jul 2026, 06:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Major League Soccer

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLA GalaxyLos Angeles FC
CompetitionMajor League Soccer
Head-to-headLA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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