PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Samara Arena

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 Orenburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Orenburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
36
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylia Sovetov and FC Orenburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Krylia Sovetov – FC Orenburg): shots 13–10, shots on target 3–6, possession 58%–42%, corners 5–6. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Orenburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Orenburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Orenburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylia Sovetov · FC Orenburg11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylia SovetovFC OrenburgBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 13 shots, Orenburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 shots, Orenburg 6 shots
  • Possession58%42%Krylya Sovetov Samara 58%, Orenburg 42%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 corners, Orenburg 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 13 fouls, Orenburg 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 card, Orenburg 2 cards
  • Passes427 passes316 passesKrylya Sovetov Samara 427 passes, Orenburg 316 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%66%Krylya Sovetov Samara 74%, Orenburg 66%
  • Shots inside box10 shots7 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 10 shots, Orenburg 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 blocks, Orenburg 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves2 savesKrylya Sovetov Samara 5 saves, Orenburg 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides0 offsidesKrylya Sovetov Samara 0 offsides, Orenburg 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
3Draws
1Orenburg
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League2–0
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–2
Orenburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League1–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara12 matchesOrenburg12 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.17 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.92 goals/match
9.33 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 11 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 3.83 shots/match
50%Possession12/12● 51.7%
3.42 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.17 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards12/122.42 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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