PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Sovcombank Arena

Nizhny Novgorod 0–1 Akron Togliatti · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akron Togliatti won 0–1.

Shots
2512
Shots on target
111
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akron beat Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nizhny Novgorod – Akron): shots 25–12, shots on target 11–1, possession 65%–35%, corners 6–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nizhny Novgorod have a visible home split

moderate

Nizhny Novgorod's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Akron show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Akron's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNizhny Novgorod · Akron12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkronBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match15.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots12 shotsNizhny Novgorod 25 shots, Akron Togliatti 12 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots1 shotNizhny Novgorod 11 shots, Akron Togliatti 1 shot
  • Possession65%35%Nizhny Novgorod 65%, Akron Togliatti 35%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersNizhny Novgorod 6 corners, Akron Togliatti 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsNizhny Novgorod 12 fouls, Akron Togliatti 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsNizhny Novgorod 2 cards, Akron Togliatti 2 cards
  • Passes484 passes263 passesNizhny Novgorod 484 passes, Akron Togliatti 263 passes
  • Pass accuracy80%68%Nizhny Novgorod 80%, Akron Togliatti 68%
  • Shots inside box13 shots9 shotsNizhny Novgorod 13 shots, Akron Togliatti 9 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksNizhny Novgorod 6 blocks, Akron Togliatti 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves11 savesNizhny Novgorod 0 saves, Akron Togliatti 11 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesNizhny Novgorod 2 offsides, Akron Togliatti 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nizhny Novgorod
1Draws
0Akron Togliatti
Nizhny Novgorod — Akron Togliatti · Premier League2–1
Akron Togliatti — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Akron Togliatti in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod12 matchesAkron Togliatti12 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
10.6 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 12.3 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.67 shots/match
43.8%Possession12/12● 44.3%
4 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.75 corners/match
3.17 cards/matchCards12/121.83 cards/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodAkron Togliatti
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headNizhny Novgorod — Akron Togliatti
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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