PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Lukoil Arena

FC Spartak Moscow 1–0 Orenburg · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Spartak Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
106
Shots on target
11
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Spartak Moscow beat FC Orenburg 1–0. Recorded in this match (Spartak Moscow – FC Orenburg): shots 10–6, shots on target 1–1, possession 66%–34%, corners 5–2. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Orenburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Orenburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Spartak Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Spartak Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSpartak Moscow · FC Orenburg10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSpartak MoscowFC OrenburgBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Spartak Moscow have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5% ●PossessionSpartak Moscow · FC Orenburg50.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSpartak MoscowFC OrenburgBaseline
Possession62.5%50.3%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 10 shots, Orenburg 6 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotFC Spartak Moscow 1 shot, Orenburg 1 shot
  • Possession66%34%FC Spartak Moscow 66%, Orenburg 34%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersFC Spartak Moscow 5 corners, Orenburg 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsFC Spartak Moscow 16 fouls, Orenburg 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFC Spartak Moscow 1 card, Orenburg 3 cards
  • Passes450 passes226 passesFC Spartak Moscow 450 passes, Orenburg 226 passes
  • Pass accuracy78%52%FC Spartak Moscow 78%, Orenburg 52%
  • Shots inside box8 shots3 shotsFC Spartak Moscow 8 shots, Orenburg 3 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksFC Spartak Moscow 1 block, Orenburg 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesFC Spartak Moscow 1 save, Orenburg 0 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideFC Spartak Moscow 2 offsides, Orenburg 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Spartak Moscow
1Draws
2Orenburg
FC Spartak Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League2–0
Orenburg — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League2–0
Orenburg — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League0–0
FC Spartak Moscow — Orenburg · Premier League3–2
Orenburg — FC Spartak Moscow · Premier League2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Spartak Moscow favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Spartak Moscow13 matchesOrenburg13 matches
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.85 goals/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.6 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.62 shots/match
62.5% ●Possession13/1350.3%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners13/134.92 corners/match
2.38 cards/matchCards13/132.46 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsFC Spartak MoscowOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Spartak Moscow — Orenburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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