PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

DWWLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rio Ave and Santa Clara drew 1–1.

Shots
99
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.761.05
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rio Ave and Santa Clara drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Rio Ave – Santa Clara): shots 9–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.76–1.05, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Clara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Clara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santa Clara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Santa Clara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · Santa Clara12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match9.92 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsRio Ave 9 shots, Santa Clara 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsRio Ave 4 shots, Santa Clara 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG1.05 xGRio Ave 1.76 xG, Santa Clara 1.05 xG
  • Possession58%42%Rio Ave 58%, Santa Clara 42%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersRio Ave 1 corner, Santa Clara 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsRio Ave 10 fouls, Santa Clara 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsRio Ave 2 cards, Santa Clara 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brenner · Santa Clara · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBrenner · Santa Clara · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAdriano Firmino · Santa Clara · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrenner · Santa Clara · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFrederico Venâncio · Santa Clara · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 24′ · 0.06 xG · goalAndré Luiz · Rio Ave · 15′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Panzo · Rio Ave · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 20′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 15′ · 0.82 xG · on targetSerginho · Santa Clara · 38′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rio Ave: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.94 xG. Santa Clara: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.08 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Clayton · Rio Ave · 24′Serginho · Santa Clara · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rio Ave 1.94 xG · Santa Clara 1.08 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Rio Ave
1Draws
1Santa Clara
Rio Ave — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–1
Santa Clara — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0
Santa Clara — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga0–2
Rio Ave — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave12 matchesSanta Clara13 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/130.92 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed12/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.15 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots12/13▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target12/134 shots/match
44.6%Possession12/13● 48.8%
3.08 corners/matchCorners12/13● 4.77 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards12/123.5 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1313.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRio AveSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headRio Ave — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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