Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia · Primeira Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 1–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.770.31
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Santa Clara – Casa Pia): shots 11–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.77–0.31, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five shots average is below their season average.

6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season8.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots6 shots/match8.79 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSanta Clara · Casa Pia8.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSanta ClaraCasa PiaBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match8.79 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against9.57 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsSanta Clara 11 shots, Casa Pia 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSanta Clara 3 shots, Casa Pia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG0.31 xGSanta Clara 1.77 xG, Casa Pia 0.31 xG
  • Possession43%57%Santa Clara 43%, Casa Pia 57%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersSanta Clara 7 corners, Casa Pia 7 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls12 foulsSanta Clara 23 fouls, Casa Pia 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards4 cardsSanta Clara 5 cards, Casa Pia 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Wendel · Santa Clara · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Casa Pia · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSidney Lima · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYassin Oukili · Casa Pia · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Soares · Santa Clara · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJérémy Livolant · Casa Pia · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Santa Clara · 6′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFrederico Venâncio · Santa Clara · 11′ · 0.34 xG · goalPedro Ferreira · Santa Clara · 45′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedWendel · Santa Clara · 9′ · 0.56 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Santa Clara: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.79 xG. Casa Pia: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Frederico Venâncio · Santa Clara · 11′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Santa Clara 1.79 xG · Casa Pia 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santa Clara
1Draws
1Casa Pia
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–1
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2–1
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santa Clara favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Casa Pia in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santa Clara14 matchesCasa Pia14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.07 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.93 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.86 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots14/148.79 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession14/1446.6%
4.93 corners/match ●Corners14/144.21 corners/match
3.62 cards/matchCards13/133.38 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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