Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia 0–2 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 0–2.

Shots
510
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.171.41
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alverca beat Casa Pia 2–0. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – Alverca): shots 5–10, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.17–1.41, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.08 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · Alverca9.62 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaAlvercaBaseline
Shots9.08 shots/match9.62 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots10 shotsCasa Pia 5 shots, FC Alverca 10 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsCasa Pia 0 shots, FC Alverca 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.17 xG1.41 xGCasa Pia 0.17 xG, FC Alverca 1.41 xG
  • Possession52%48%Casa Pia 52%, FC Alverca 48%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersCasa Pia 6 corners, FC Alverca 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls17 foulsCasa Pia 9 fouls, FC Alverca 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsCasa Pia 4 cards, FC Alverca 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sabit Abdulai · Alverca · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdu Conté · Casa Pia · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSabit Abdulai · Alverca · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSabit Abdulai · Alverca · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKaique Rocha · Casa Pia · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Amorim · Alverca · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetGaizka Larrazabal · Casa Pia · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFahem Benaissa-Yahia · Casa Pia · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Amorim · Alverca · 54′ · 0.15 xG · on targetMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 66′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedLincoln · Alverca · 76′ · 0.35 xG · goalMarko Milovanović · Alverca · 90′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Casa Pia: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.18 xG. Alverca: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Lincoln · Alverca · 76′Marko Milovanović · Alverca · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Casa Pia 0.18 xG · Alverca 1.37 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia13 matchesFC Alverca13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.31 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.54 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.26 xG/match
9.08 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 9.62 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
45.8%Possession13/13● 46%
4 corners/match ●Corners13/133.08 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards12/122.83 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Nov 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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