PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025

AVS - Futebol SAD 1–2 Rio Ave · Primeira Liga

1–2Historical match

Rio Ave

WWLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rio Ave won 1–2.

Shots
917
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
1.522.44
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rio Ave beat AVS - Futebol SAD 2–1. Recorded in this match (AVS - Futebol SAD – Rio Ave): shots 9–17, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 1.52–2.44, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AVS - Futebol SAD's recent record differs from the season

weak

AVS - Futebol SAD's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.69 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 9 shots, Rio Ave 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsAVS - Futebol SAD 5 shots, Rio Ave 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG2.44 xGAVS - Futebol SAD 1.52 xG, Rio Ave 2.44 xG
  • Possession35%65%AVS - Futebol SAD 35%, Rio Ave 65%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersAVS - Futebol SAD 3 corners, Rio Ave 11 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsAVS - Futebol SAD 16 fouls, Rio Ave 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Brandon Aguilera · Rio Ave · 42′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGuilherme Neiva · AVS - Futebol SAD · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetClayton · Rio Ave · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetClayton · Rio Ave · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNelson Abbey · Rio Ave · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Neiva · AVS - Futebol SAD · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Ndoj · Rio Ave · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedClayton · Rio Ave · 80′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndré Luiz · Rio Ave · 27′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarios Vrousai · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOle Pohlmann · Rio Ave · 26′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedTomané · AVS - Futebol SAD · 10′ · 0.12 xG · on targetClayton · Rio Ave · 30′ · 0.13 xG · goalÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 2′ · 0.19 xG · on targetClayton · Rio Ave · 66′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDiego Duarte · AVS - Futebol SAD · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPonck · AVS - Futebol SAD · 46′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Panzo · Rio Ave · 20′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAndré Luiz · Rio Ave · 6′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 50′ · 0.54 xG · goalClayton · Rio Ave · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AVS - Futebol SAD: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.52 xG. Rio Ave: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Óscar Perea · AVS - Futebol SAD · 50′Clayton · Rio Ave · 30′Clayton · Rio Ave · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AVS - Futebol SAD 1.52 xG · Rio Ave 2.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AVS - Futebol SAD
1Draws
0Rio Ave
Rio Ave — AVS - Futebol SAD · Primeira Liga1–1
AVS - Futebol SAD — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AVS - Futebol SAD favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Rio Ave in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AVS - Futebol SAD13 matchesRio Ave14 matches
0.69 goals/matchGoals scored13/14▲ 1.36 goals/match
2.38 goals/matchGoals allowed13/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.12 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots13/1410.6 shots/match
3.08 shots/matchShots on target13/14▲ 4.5 shots/match
44.3%Possession13/14● 47.5%
3.31 corners/matchCorners13/14● 4.21 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1414.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAVS - Futebol SADRio Ave
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAVS - Futebol SAD — Rio Ave
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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