PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting 4–0 CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting won 4–0.

Shots
195
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.650.11
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sporting CP beat Estrela 4–0. Recorded in this match (Sporting CP – Estrela): shots 19–5, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.65–0.11, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sporting CP show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Sporting CP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSporting CP · Estrela11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPEstrelaBaseline
Shots20.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against7.42 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Estrela have a visible away split

moderate

Estrela's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting CP have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.5% ●PossessionSporting CP · Estrela50.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSporting CPEstrelaBaseline
Possession62.5%50.1%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsSporting 19 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsSporting 6 shots, CF Estrela Amadora 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.65 xG0.11 xGSporting 2.65 xG, CF Estrela Amadora 0.11 xG
  • Possession63%37%Sporting 63%, CF Estrela Amadora 37%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSporting 5 corners, CF Estrela Amadora 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsSporting 12 fouls, CF Estrela Amadora 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSporting 1 card, CF Estrela Amadora 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kikas · Estrela · 43′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJovane Cabral · Estrela · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Reis · Sporting CP · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatheus Reis · Sporting CP · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbraham Marcus · Estrela · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSidny Lopes Cabral · Estrela · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Quaresma · Sporting CP · 7′ · 0.05 xG · goalAlisson Santos · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGeovany Quenda · Sporting CP · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeny Catamo · Sporting CP · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro Gonçalves · Sporting CP · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 23′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 11′ · 0.14 xG · goalLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 47′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 81′ · 0.19 xG · on targetIván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 25′ · 0.31 xG · goalFrancisco Trincão · Sporting CP · 13′ · 0.57 xG · off target or blockedLuis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 54′ · 0.62 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sporting CP: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.65 xG. Estrela: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Eduardo Quaresma · Sporting CP · 7′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 11′Iván Fresneda · Sporting CP · 25′Luis Javier Suárez · Sporting CP · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sporting CP 2.65 xG · Estrela 0.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Sporting
0Draws
0CF Estrela Amadora
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga0–3
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga5–1
CF Estrela Amadora — Sporting · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sporting favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · CF Estrela Amadora in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sporting12 matchesCF Estrela Amadora13 matches
2.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/131.23 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/131.38 goals/match
2.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.32 xG/match
20.4 shots/match ▲Shots12/1311.4 shots/match
7.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/133.77 shots/match
62.5% ●Possession12/1350.1%
7.42 corners/match ●Corners12/133.69 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards12/122.67 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSportingCF Estrela Amadora
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headSporting — CF Estrela Amadora
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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