CF Estrela Amadora 3–1 FC Arouca — Primeira Liga 2025/26 Match Stats

Primeira Liga · 2025Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 18:00 UTCEstádio José Gomes

CF Estrela Amadora

LLWDL

3–1Historical match

FC Arouca

DLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CF Estrela Amadora won 3–1.

Shots: 249
Shots on target: 92
Expected goals: 3.270.48
Possession: 63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estrela beat Arouca 3–1. Recorded in this match (Estrela – Arouca): shots 24–9, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 3.27–0.48, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estrela's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estrela's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.36 goals/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estrela have a visible home split

moderate

Estrela's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Arouca show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Arouca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsEstrela · Arouca8.86 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Estrela	Arouca	Baseline
Shots	12.3 shots/match	8.86 shots/match	12.3 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	15.3 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

Shots24 shots9 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 24 shots, FC Arouca 9 shots
Shots on target9 shots2 shotsCF Estrela Amadora 9 shots, FC Arouca 2 shots
Expected goals3.27 xG0.48 xGCF Estrela Amadora 3.27 xG, FC Arouca 0.48 xG
Possession63%37%CF Estrela Amadora 63%, FC Arouca 37%
Corners5 corners3 cornersCF Estrela Amadora 5 corners, FC Arouca 3 corners
Fouls12 fouls14 foulsCF Estrela Amadora 12 fouls, FC Arouca 14 fouls
Yellow cards1 card4 cardsCF Estrela Amadora 1 card, FC Arouca 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Estrela: 24 shots, 9 on target, 3.22 xG. Arouca: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estrela 3.22 xG · Arouca 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CF Estrela Amadora

1Draws

2FC Arouca

19 Apr 2025FC Arouca — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga1–0

9 Dec 2024CF Estrela Amadora — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–1

5 May 2024FC Arouca — CF Estrela Amadora · Primeira Liga0–0

28 Dec 2023CF Estrela Amadora — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CF Estrela Amadora favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CF Estrela Amadora14 matchesFC Arouca14 matches

1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match

1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142.71 goals/match

1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.58 xG/match

12.3 shots/match ▲Shots14/148.86 shots/match

4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/142.79 shots/match

51% ●Possession14/1447.4%

3.79 corners/match ●Corners14/143.36 corners/match

2.54 cards/matchCards13/133.31 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance

What the match recorded