PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio Municipal de Arouca

FC Arouca 0–4 Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sporting Braga won 0–4.

Shots
318
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.062.92
Possession
16%84%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Braga beat Arouca 4–0. Recorded in this match (Arouca – SC Braga): shots 3–18, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.06–2.92, possession 16%–84%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Arouca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Arouca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Arouca show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Arouca's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.85 shots/match ▲ShotsArouca · SC Braga14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAroucaSC BragaBaseline
Shots8.85 shots/match14.2 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match8.23 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

SC Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.2%PossessionArouca · SC Braga● 66.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAroucaSC BragaBaseline
Possession48.2%66.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots18 shotsFC Arouca 3 shots, Sporting Braga 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsFC Arouca 1 shot, Sporting Braga 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.06 xG2.92 xGFC Arouca 0.06 xG, Sporting Braga 2.92 xG
  • Possession16%84%FC Arouca 16%, Sporting Braga 84%
  • Corners0 corners6 cornersFC Arouca 0 corners, Sporting Braga 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsFC Arouca 11 fouls, Sporting Braga 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards0 cardsFC Arouca 4 cards, Sporting Braga 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jean-Baptiste Gorby · SC Braga · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTaichi Fukui · Arouca · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Puche · Arouca · 62′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Gómez · SC Braga · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 44′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPau Víctor · SC Braga · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSikou Niakaté · SC Braga · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 31′ · 0.08 xG · goalAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Pinto · SC Braga · 45′ · 0.13 xG · goalRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 34′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 58′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 84′ · 0.17 xG · on targetGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 85′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedNico Mantl · SC Braga · 26′ · 0.32 xG · goalGustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 71′ · 0.42 xG · goalAmine El Ouazzani · SC Braga · 65′ · 0.43 xG · on targetRicardo Horta · SC Braga · 26′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arouca: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.06 xG. SC Braga: 20 shots, 8 on target, 3.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Nico Mantl · SC Braga · 26′Ricardo Horta · SC Braga · 31′Alex Pinto · SC Braga · 45′Gustaf Lagerbielke · SC Braga · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arouca 0.06 xG · SC Braga 3.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Arouca
0Draws
4Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–1
FC Arouca — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting Braga — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga0–3
FC Arouca — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting Braga — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Arouca favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Arouca13 matchesSporting Braga13 matches
1.23 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.92 goals/match
2.69 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1 goal/match
0.58 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.77 xG/match
8.85 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 14.2 shots/match
2.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.31 shots/match
48.2%Possession13/13● 66.7%
3.38 corners/matchCorners13/13● 6 corners/match
3.08 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Dec 2025, 00:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AroucaSporting Braga
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Arouca — Sporting Braga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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