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Primeira Liga · 2025Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia 3–3 Moreirense · Primeira Liga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Estoril Praia and Moreirense drew 3–3.

Shots
98
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.882.41
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estoril and Moreirense drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Estoril – Moreirense): shots 9–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.88–2.41, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.79 goals/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Moreirense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Moreirense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsEstoril · Moreirense9.23 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEstorilMoreirenseBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match9.23 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Moreirense have a visible away split

moderate

Moreirense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.23 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.71 shots/match9.23 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsEstoril Praia 9 shots, Moreirense 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsEstoril Praia 5 shots, Moreirense 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.88 xG2.41 xGEstoril Praia 1.88 xG, Moreirense 2.41 xG
  • Possession45%55%Estoril Praia 45%, Moreirense 55%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersEstoril Praia 1 corner, Moreirense 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsEstoril Praia 16 fouls, Moreirense 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsEstoril Praia 2 cards, Moreirense 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jandro Orellana · Estoril · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDinis Pinto · Moreirense · 16′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatrick de Paula · Estoril · 19′ · 0.02 xG · goalAndré Lacximicant · Estoril · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDinis Pinto · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Carvalho · Estoril · 1′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick de Paula · Estoril · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLanderson · Moreirense · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDiogo Travassos · Moreirense · 2′ · 0.06 xG · goalGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 7′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndré Lacximicant · Estoril · 57′ · 0.51 xG · on targetRicard Sánchez · Estoril · 54′ · 0.53 xG · goalLuís Semedo · Moreirense · 90′ · 0.62 xG · goalYanis Begraoui · Estoril · 58′ · 0.63 xG · goalGuilherme Schettine · Moreirense · 22′ · 0.70 xG · on targetAfonso Assis · Moreirense · 62′ · 0.86 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Estoril: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.84 xG. Moreirense: 8 shots, 5 on target, 2.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Patrick de Paula · Estoril · 19′Ricard Sánchez · Estoril · 54′Yanis Begraoui · Estoril · 58′Diogo Travassos · Moreirense · 2′Afonso Assis · Moreirense · 62′Luís Semedo · Moreirense · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Estoril 1.84 xG · Moreirense 2.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Estoril Praia
2Draws
2Moreirense
Moreirense — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–2
Estoril Praia — Moreirense · Primeira Liga2–2
Moreirense — Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga2–1
Estoril Praia — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–3
Estoril Praia — Moreirense · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estoril Praia favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Moreirense in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estoril Praia14 matchesMoreirense13 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/131.62 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/131.54 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.2 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/139.23 shots/match
4.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/133.38 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession14/1348%
3.86 corners/match ●Corners14/133.85 corners/match
3.08 cards/matchCards13/133.15 cards/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsEstoril PraiaMoreirense
CompetitionPrimeira LigaPrimeira Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headEstoril Praia — Moreirense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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