La Liga · 2025Sun, 17 May 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeEstadio El SadarFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWLLL
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaEspanyol
Shots24 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target9 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.61 xG/match0.79 xG/match
Possession68%32%
Corners9 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match13 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/matchShotsLast 5 · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Espanyol.

4.9 daysRest daysOsasuna · Espanyol4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOsasunaEspanyolBaseline
Rest days4.9 days4 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
0Draws
1Espanyol
EspanyolOsasuna · La Liga10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Espanyol in 4 · 5 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 37/371.14 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 37/371.46 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/111.12 xG/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/111.51 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 37/3712.5 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 37/3713.8 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 37/374.05 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 37/375.16 shots/match
46.8%Possessionseason · 37/3742.1%
3.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 37/374.73 corners/match
4.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 37/374.84 corners/match
2.77 cards/matchCardsseason · 31/282.39 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 37/3713.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 37/3727%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 37/3776%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna32.5
Espanyol7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna41.7
Espanyol49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna45
Espanyol27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna57.5
Espanyol92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna72.5
Espanyol60
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna7.5
Espanyol52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna37.5
Espanyol62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.82 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
50%Possession5/542.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards2/1
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.8 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots10/1011.2 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target10/103.3 shots/match
51.6%Possession10/1041.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.6 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards4/2
12.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

37 / 37 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored37/371.14 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.46 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals10/111.12 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots37/3712.5 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target37/374.05 shots/match
46.8%Possession37/3742.1%
3.7 corners/matchCorners37/374.73 corners/match
2.77 cards/matchCards31/282.39 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

19 / 19 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.16 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.63 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.04 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots19/1911.8 shots/match
5.32 shots/matchShots on target19/193.47 shots/match
49.3%Possession19/1938.4%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/194.21 corners/match
2.64 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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