PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 2–1.

Shots
2419
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.621.76
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Alaves 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Alaves): shots 24–19, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.62–1.76, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Alaves12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAlavesBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.5% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Alaves49.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAlavesBaseline
Possession59.5%49.7%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots19 shotsReal Madrid 24 shots, Deportivo Alavés 19 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsReal Madrid 8 shots, Deportivo Alavés 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.76 xGReal Madrid 1.62 xG, Deportivo Alavés 1.76 xG
  • Possession61%39%Real Madrid 61%, Deportivo Alavés 39%
  • Corners9 corners6 cornersReal Madrid 9 corners, Deportivo Alavés 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsReal Madrid 14 fouls, Deportivo Alavés 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardReal Madrid 1 card, Deportivo Alavés 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 50′ · 0.01 xG · goalNahuel Tenaglia · Alaves · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 34′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArda Güler · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Alaves · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Alaves · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranco Mastantuono · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 30′ · 0.03 xG · goalJonny Otto · Alaves · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJon Guridi · Alaves · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Alaves · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 9′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTrent Alexander-Arnold · Real Madrid · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFranco Mastantuono · Real Madrid · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAnder Guevara · Alaves · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 6′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Diabaté · Alaves · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Alaves · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 32′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.09 xG · on targetÁngel Pérez · Alaves · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Alaves · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedÉder Militão · Real Madrid · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPablo Ibáñez · Alaves · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 77′ · 0.17 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 42′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedVictor Parada · Alaves · 82′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 90′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 24 shots, 8 on target, 1.69 xG. Alaves: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kylian Mbappé · Real Madrid · 30′Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 50′Toni Martínez · Alaves · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.69 xG · Alaves 2.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

5Real Madrid
0Draws
0Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga3–2
Real Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga5–0
Deportivo Alavés — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Alavés in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid32 matchesDeportivo Alavés32 matches
2.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.5 goals/match
2.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.21 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/3212.3 shots/match
6.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.94 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession32/3249.7%
6.53 corners/match ●Corners32/324.94 corners/match
2.11 cards/matchCards28/292.59 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3215.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridDeportivo Alavés
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Deportivo Alavés
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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