La Liga · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio MendizorrotzaFull-time recap

Alaves

DWDDL
21Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAlavesMallorca
Shots15 shots/match4 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.09 xG/match0.28 xG/match
Possession50%50%
Corners9 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Alaves, Mallorca. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Alaves, Mallorca.

3.69 daysRest daysAlaves · Mallorca3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlavesMallorcaBaseline
Rest days3.69 days3.79 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Mallorca have a visible away split

moderate

Mallorca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.81 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.81 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Alaves
0Draws
1Mallorca
MallorcaAlaves · La Liga10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Alaves favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 4 · 5 too close

1.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.24 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.55 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.42 xG/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.34 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3310.5 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3314.8 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.03 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.73 shots/match
49.7%Possessionseason · 33/3345.5%
5.06 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/333.61 corners/match
4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/336.61 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/282.43 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3311.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
9%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3312%
70%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3376%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Alaves47.5
Mallorca27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Alaves44.2
Mallorca40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Alaves47.5
Mallorca19.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Alaves52.5
Mallorca27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Alaves82.5
Mallorca40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Alaves62.5
Mallorca7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Alaves63.8
Mallorca25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.29 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots5/510.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/548.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55 corners/match
Cards2/0
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.42 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots10/1010.8 shots/match
4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
48.3%Possession10/1051.3%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards6/53.6 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.24 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.55 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.42 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots33/3310.5 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target33/334.03 shots/match
49.7%Possession33/3345.5%
5.06 corners/matchCorners33/333.61 corners/match
2.59 cards/matchCards29/282.43 cards/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/160.88 goals/match
1.19 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.94 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
13.1 shots/matchShots16/168.81 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target16/163.44 shots/match
50.6%Possession16/1643.3%
6.06 corners/matchCorners16/163.31 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards14/142.64 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.69 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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