La Liga · 2025Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de La CartujaFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal BetisReal Madrid
Shots19 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match8 shots/match
Expected goals1.02 xG/match1.07 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Real Madrid. A second useful context is: Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Betis, Real Madrid.

2.98 daysRest daysReal Betis · Real Madrid2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal BetisReal MadridBaseline
Rest days2.98 days2.98 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/matchShotsReal Betis · Real Madrid18.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal BetisReal MadridBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match18.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Betis
0Draws
1Real Madrid
Real MadridReal Betis · La Liga51

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 9 · 4 too close

1.48 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/332.06 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/330.94 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.62 xG/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.06 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3318.1 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3310.6 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/337 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.09 shots/match
50.6%Possessionseason · 33/3359.1%
4.45 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/336.52 corners/match
5.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/333.61 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/282.11 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3310 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3333%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3391%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis57.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis79.2
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis54.2
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis82.5
Real Madrid97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis12.5
Real Madrid13.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis47.5
Real Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis56.2
Real Madrid71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.72 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots5/518 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/58.2 shots/match
55.2%Possession5/557.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match
Cards0/1
11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.62 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots10/1016.2 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/106.7 shots/match
52.6%Possession10/1058.8%
4.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/52.8 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored33/332.06 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.94 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.62 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots33/3318.1 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target33/337 shots/match
50.6%Possession33/3359.1%
4.45 corners/matchCorners33/336.52 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards27/282.11 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3310 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.69 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.81 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.06 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals3/2
16.1 shots/matchShots16/1616.8 shots/match
5.06 shots/matchShots on target16/166.25 shots/match
51.8%Possession16/1658.3%
4.44 corners/matchCorners16/166.13 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards13/141.5 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls16/169.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

2.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.98 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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