PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 19:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

DLDWL
1–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaVillarreal
Shots10 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Expected goals0.48 xG/match0.63 xG/match▲
Possession54%46%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Villarreal have a visible away split

moderate

Villarreal's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.47 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.47 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Villarreal show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Villarreal's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Villarreal12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaVillarrealBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Girona
0Draws
1Villarreal
Villarreal — Girona · La Liga5–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Villarreal in 9 · 5 too close

1.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.8 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.17 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.56 xG/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.62 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲12.2 shots/match
15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/30▲12.5 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲4.5 shots/match
4.93 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.57 shots/match
49.9%Possessionseason · 30/3043.6%
4.17 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/303.93 corners/match
5.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲4.57 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/272.44 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3012.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲27%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲83%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona47.5
Villarreal17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona25
Villarreal69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona21.7
Villarreal70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona7.5
Villarreal72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona42.5
Villarreal50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona37.5
Villarreal27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona26.9
Villarreal47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.56 xG/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots5/512.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
55.4%Possession5/539.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
—Cards2/2—
8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.7 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.56 xG/match
12.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
54.5%Possession10/1043.8%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards7/72.29 cards/match
9.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.8 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.17 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.56 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots30/30▲12.2 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲4.5 shots/match
49.9%Possession30/3043.6%
4.17 corners/matchCorners30/303.93 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards27/272.44 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.33 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
—Expected goals2/2—
10.6 shots/match▲Shots15/159.47 shots/match
4.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.2 shots/match
50.2%Possession15/1540.2%
5 corners/matchCorners15/152.73 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCards13/133.31 cards/match
9.73 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

16.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/117 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 6 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaVillarreal
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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