La Liga · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeCamp NouFull-time recap

Barcelona

LWWWW

1–0Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

DDWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Barcelona	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	15 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.36 xG/match	1.83 xG/match▲
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	6 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match▲ShotsBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Shots	19.7 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match
Shots against	9.28 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.21 corners/match▲CornersBarcelona · Rayo Vallecano5.9 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Barcelona	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Corners	7.21 corners/match	5.9 corners/match	4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.97 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Barcelona

1Draws

0Rayo Vallecano

31 Aug 2025Rayo Vallecano — Barcelona · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Barcelona favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 0 · 4 too close

2.69 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/290.97 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.21 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

19.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2913.3 shots/match

9.28 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2912.1 shots/match

7.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/294.59 shots/match

3.76 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/293.97 shots/match

68.7%Possessionseason · 29/2953.4%

7.21 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/295.9 corners/match

4.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/295.07 corners/match

1.67 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/283 cards/match

9.21 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2913.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

41%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2928%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2962%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Barcelona97.5

Rayo Vallecano77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Barcelona97.5

Rayo Vallecano49.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Barcelona89.2

Rayo Vallecano67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Barcelona77.5

Rayo Vallecano52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Barcelona2.5

Rayo Vallecano78.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Barcelona97.5

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Barcelona73.8

Rayo Vallecano70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/50.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.8 shots/match

67.8%Possession5/551.2%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/56.6 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/42.5 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

19.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.9 shots/match

6.6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.7 shots/match

69.2%Possession10/1051.1%

7.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards8/93.33 cards/match

8.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

2.69 goals/match▲Goals scored29/290.97 goals/match

0.97 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.21 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

19.7 shots/match▲Shots29/2913.3 shots/match

7.17 shots/match▲Shots on target29/294.59 shots/match

68.7%Possession29/2953.4%

7.21 corners/matchCorners29/295.9 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards27/283 cards/match

9.21 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

3.13 goals/match▲Goals scored15/150.8 goals/match

0.53 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/1—

19.6 shots/match▲Shots15/1511.3 shots/match

7.47 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.67 shots/match

68.5%Possession15/1552.6%

7.53 corners/matchCorners15/155.07 corners/match

1 cards/matchCards13/143.64 cards/match

9.13 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4