La Liga · 2025Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeSan MamésFull-time recap

Athletic Club

WWDLL

2–1Full-time recap

Real Betis

WDDLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Athletic Club	Real Betis
Shots	11 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.25 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%
Corners	6 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	1.52 goals/match	1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Athletic Club

0Draws

0Real Betis

31 Aug 2025Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Athletic Club favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 5 · 6 too close

1.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/29▲1.52 goals/match

1.41 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/29▲1.28 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

14.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/2914.5 shots/match

9.62 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2912.4 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/294.76 shots/match

4.14 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/294.38 shots/match

48.7%Possessionseason · 29/2950.2%

5.41 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294.55 corners/match

3.9 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/295.31 corners/match

2.48 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/27▲2.04 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲28%

66%Scoring frequencyseason · 29/29▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Athletic Club37.5

Real Betis52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Athletic Club61.7

Real Betis80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Athletic Club67.5

Real Betis50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Athletic Club87.5

Real Betis82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club70

Real Betis15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Athletic Club72.5

Real Betis47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Athletic Club76.2

Real Betis56.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.4 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

43.6%Possession5/555.2%

5 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards3/33 cards/match

14.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

15.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.8 shots/match

5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

47.3%Possession10/1051.4%

5 corners/matchCorners10/103.8 corners/match

3.13 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match

14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.1 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲1.52 goals/match

1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲1.28 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

14.2 shots/matchShots29/2914.5 shots/match

4.69 shots/matchShots on target29/294.76 shots/match

48.7%Possession29/2950.2%

5.41 corners/matchCorners29/294.55 corners/match

2.48 cards/matchCards27/272.04 cards/match

13.7 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.2 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.7 shots/match▲Shots15/1513.4 shots/match

4.87 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.47 shots/match

49.5%Possession15/1549.9%

5.47 corners/matchCorners15/154.8 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards14/142.07 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls15/159.73 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.19 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4