PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridMallorca
Shots17 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession61%39%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atletico Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match▲ShotsAtletico Madrid · Mallorca10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridMallorcaBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atletico Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.9%▲PossessionAtletico Madrid · Mallorca44.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridMallorcaBaseline
Possession53.9%44.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Atletico Madrid
1Draws
0Mallorca
Mallorca — Atletico Madrid · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Mallorca in 0 · 4 too close

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 21/211.14 goals/match
0.81 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/211.57 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/2110.4 shots/match
10.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 21/2114.4 shots/match
5.62 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 21/213.95 shots/match
2.76 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.81 shots/match
53.9%Possessionseason · 21/2144.3%
6.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/213.33 corners/match
3.76 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 21/216.71 corners/match
1.9 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 21/212.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2114%
95%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 21/2176%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid72.5
Mallorca22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid82.5
Mallorca35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid91.7
Mallorca21.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid57.5
Mallorca42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid17.5
Mallorca35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid92.5
Mallorca7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid71.2
Mallorca23.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match
5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
53%Possession5/543%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14 shots/match▲Shots10/109.5 shots/match
5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
54.8%Possession10/1042.8%
7.6 corners/matchCorners10/102.7 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.81 goals/match▲Goals scored21/211.14 goals/match
0.81 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/211.57 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.5 shots/match▲Shots21/2110.4 shots/match
5.62 shots/match▲Shots on target21/213.95 shots/match
53.9%Possession21/2144.3%
6.9 corners/matchCorners21/213.33 corners/match
1.9 cards/matchCards21/212.33 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
2.36 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.91 goals/match
0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.82 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16 shots/match▲Shots11/119.82 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.73 shots/match
55.5%Possession11/1143%
8.64 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match
1.82 cards/matchCards11/112.36 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Jan 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridMallorca
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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