UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 28 Jan 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeCívitas MetropolitanoFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtlético MadridBodø/Glimt
Shots27 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals2.04 xG/match1.88 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners12 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match4 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Pablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Pubill · Atlético Madrid · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJohnny Cardoso · Atlético Madrid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDávid Hancko · Atlético Madrid · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPablo Barrios · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Atlético Madrid · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 80′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Atlético Madrid · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndreas Helmersen · Bodø/Glimt · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNicolás González · Atlético Madrid · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJostein Gundersen · Bodø/Glimt · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNicolás González · Atlético Madrid · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHåkon Evjen · Bodø/Glimt · 59′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 15′ · 0.12 xG · goalKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHåkon Evjen · Bodø/Glimt · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAlex Baena · Atlético Madrid · 55′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 59′ · 0.20 xG · on targetAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.23 xG · on targetThiago Almada · Atlético Madrid · 76′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedSondre Fet · Bodø/Glimt · 3′ · 0.29 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 41′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 34′ · 0.41 xG · goalKasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 59′ · 0.42 xG · goalHåkon Evjen · Bodø/Glimt · 59′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 27 shots, 8 on target, 2.03 xG. Bodø/Glimt: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.45 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 15′Fredrik Sjøvold · Bodø/Glimt · 34′Kasper Høgh · Bodø/Glimt · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.03 xG · Bodø/Glimt 2.45 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bodø/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/matchShotsAtlético Madrid · Bodø/Glimt12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MadridBodø/GlimtBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match18 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bodø/Glimt have a visible away split

moderate

Bodø/Glimt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · Bodø/Glimt in 2 · 5 too close

2.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/102 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/101.7 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81.81 xG/match
1.62 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/82.5 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/1012.5 shots/match
12.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/1018 shots/match
6.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/105.2 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/107.4 shots/match
53.3%Possessionseason · 8/1050.3%
6.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/104.2 corners/match
4.13 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/106.7 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/109 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/1010%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/1090%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid67.9
Bodø/Glimt48.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid76.1
Bodø/Glimt58.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid43.2
Bodø/Glimt16.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid60.7
Bodø/Glimt34.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid41.7
Bodø/Glimt14.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid96.4
Bodø/Glimt31
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid72
Bodø/Glimt37.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.61 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
6.8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/545.6%
8 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/57.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 10 matches
2.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/102 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/101.7 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.81 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots8/1012.5 shots/match
6.38 shots/matchShots on target8/105.2 shots/match
53.3%Possession8/1050.3%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/109 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 10 matches
2.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/102 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/101.7 goals/match
1.84 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.81 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots8/1012.5 shots/match
6.38 shots/matchShots on target8/105.2 shots/match
53.3%Possession8/1050.3%
6.88 corners/matchCorners8/104.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/109 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
2.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/51.6 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/52 goals/match
2.44 xG/matchExpected goals4/41.8 xG/match
18.5 shots/matchShots4/59.4 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target4/55.4 shots/match
57.8%Possession4/547.4%
8.25 corners/matchCorners4/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/58.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Jan 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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