PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

WDDLW
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGironaAtletico Madrid
Shots9 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match▲
Possession51%49%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match14 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Atletico Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Atletico Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.59 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Atletico Madrid13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGironaAtletico MadridBaseline
Shots9.59 shots/match13 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Atletico Madrid's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atletico Madrid's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Atletico Madrid in 10 · 4 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 17/18▲1.83 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 17/18▲0.89 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.59 shots/matchShotsseason · 17/18▲13 shots/match
16.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 17/18▲10.4 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 17/18▲5.67 shots/match
5.65 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 17/18▲2.72 shots/match
47.3%Possessionseason · 17/1853.4%
3.88 corners/matchCornersseason · 17/186.83 corners/match
5.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 17/18▲3.56 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCardsseason · 17/18▲1.94 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 17/1811.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
12%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 17/18▲39%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 17/18▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona37.5
Atletico Madrid72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona24.2
Atletico Madrid78.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona5.8
Atletico Madrid90
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona12.5
Atletico Madrid52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona43.8
Atletico Madrid20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona27.5
Atletico Madrid92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona23.1
Atletico Madrid66.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.4 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match
46.4%Possession5/549%
2 corners/matchCorners5/55.2 corners/match
2.8 cards/matchCards5/51.2 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.8 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.3 shots/matchShots10/10▲13.2 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6 shots/match
48.6%Possession10/1052.7%
3.5 corners/matchCorners10/107.2 corners/match
2.9 cards/matchCards10/101.4 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

17 / 18 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/18▲1.83 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed17/18▲0.89 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.59 shots/matchShots17/18▲13 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/18▲5.67 shots/match
47.3%Possession17/1853.4%
3.88 corners/matchCorners17/186.83 corners/match
2.53 cards/matchCards17/181.94 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1811.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

9 / 9 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.22 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.67 shots/matchShots9/9▲10.9 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲4.33 shots/match
50.1%Possession9/951.9%
5.33 corners/matchCorners9/94.89 corners/match
2.56 cards/matchCards9/92 cards/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls9/912.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Dec 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGironaAtletico Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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