PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Fri, 21 Nov 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeEstadio de MestallaFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Levante

WLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricValenciaLevante
Shots14 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners7 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match15 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible home split

moderate

Valencia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsValencia · Levante10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaLevanteBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match10.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Valencia favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 3 · 5 too close

0.92 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲1.23 goals/match
1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.85 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/1310.2 shots/match
13.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 13/1317.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲3.31 shots/match
4.77 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 13/135.62 shots/match
47.2%Possessionseason · 13/1339%
5.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/133.08 corners/match
4.62 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 13/138.08 corners/match
2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 13/132.23 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1312.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
31%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1315%
62%Scoring frequencyseason · 13/13▲77%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Valencia37.5
Levante2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Valencia22.5
Levante34.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Valencia24.2
Levante7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Valencia32.5
Levante72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Valencia33.8
Levante55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Valencia62.5
Levante7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Valencia38.8
Levante28.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/match▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3 shots/match
46.2%Possession5/538.8%
4.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards5/52 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11 shots/matchShots10/1010.7 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲3.4 shots/match
45.9%Possession10/1041.8%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.3 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

13 / 13 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.23 goals/match
1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.85 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.7 shots/matchShots13/1310.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.31 shots/match
47.2%Possession13/1339%
5.08 corners/matchCorners13/133.08 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards13/132.23 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

7 / 8 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.25 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots7/810.4 shots/match
3.71 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83.38 shots/match
53%Possession7/841.1%
6.71 corners/matchCorners7/82.5 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards7/82.25 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls7/813.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsValenciaLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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