PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Estadio Mendizorrotza

Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 0–1.

Shots
57
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.671.37
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Alaves 1–0. Recorded in this match (Alaves – Celta Vigo): shots 5–7, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.67–1.37, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alaves's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alaves's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots7 shotsDeportivo Alavés 5 shots, Celta Vigo 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsDeportivo Alavés 2 shots, Celta Vigo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG1.37 xGDeportivo Alavés 0.67 xG, Celta Vigo 1.37 xG
  • Possession52%48%Deportivo Alavés 52%, Celta Vigo 48%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersDeportivo Alavés 4 corners, Celta Vigo 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls15 foulsDeportivo Alavés 21 fouls, Celta Vigo 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsDeportivo Alavés 2 cards, Celta Vigo 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMariano Díaz · Alaves · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJones El-Abdellaoui · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIlaix Moriba · Celta Vigo · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Alaves · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarles Aleñá · Alaves · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMiguel Román · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Tenaglia · Alaves · 75′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Alaves · 33′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPablo Durán · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.40 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Alaves: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.42 xG. Celta Vigo: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Iago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Alaves 0.42 xG · Celta Vigo 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Alavés
2Draws
2Celta Vigo
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–0
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés13 matchesCelta Vigo13 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.23 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.38 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.22 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots13/1311.2 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 3.77 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession13/1350.8%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners13/134.62 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards13/132.15 cards/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésCelta Vigo
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Celta Vigo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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