PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 14:15 UTCFull timeEstadio Ramón Sánchez PizjuánFull-time recap

Sevilla

WDWLW
4–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSevillaBarcelona
Shots13 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target5 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Possession39%61%
Corners7 corners/match6 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards7 cards/match5 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Barcelona20.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSevillaBarcelonaBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match20.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match7 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.4%▲PossessionSevilla · Barcelona71%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSevillaBarcelonaBaseline
Possession51.4%71%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

7.09 days▲Rest daysSevilla · Barcelona6.91 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSevillaBarcelonaBaseline
Rest days7.09 days6.91 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 9 · 5 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲2.75 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲20.4 shots/match
12.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲7 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲8.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.13 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 8/871%
3.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/87 corners/match
6.38 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4 corners/match
3.38 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/8▲1.38 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/89 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲38%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla57.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla49.2
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla34.2
Barcelona85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla27.5
Barcelona77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla95
Barcelona5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla22.5
Barcelona92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla45
Barcelona73.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲20.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲9.4 shots/match
49%Possession5/571.6%
4 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match
4.4 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
18.4 fouls/matchFouls5/57.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.75 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲20.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲8.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession8/871%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/87 corners/match
3.38 cards/matchCards8/81.38 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls8/89 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲2.75 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲20.4 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲8.5 shots/match
51.4%Possession8/871%
3.63 corners/matchCorners8/87 corners/match
3.38 cards/matchCards8/81.38 cards/match
16 fouls/matchFouls8/89 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲2.2 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12 shots/matchShots4/5▲20.2 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲7.8 shots/match
57%Possession4/570%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/57.2 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards4/51.6 cards/match
17 fouls/matchFouls4/59.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsSevillaBarcelona
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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