Paris Saint Germain beat Barcelona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Paris Saint Germain): shots 12–15, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.27–1.64, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
BarcelonaParis Saint-Germain
Shots12 shots15 shotsBarcelona 12 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 15 shots
Shots on target3 shots7 shotsBarcelona 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
Expected goals1.27 xG1.64 xGBarcelona 1.27 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.64 xG
Possession47%53%Barcelona 47%, Paris Saint-Germain 53%
Corners4 corners9 cornersBarcelona 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 9 corners
Fouls12 fouls14 foulsBarcelona 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 14 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Paris Saint Germain← attackingattacking →Barcelona
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Barcelona: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.27 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 16 shots, 7 on target, 1.64 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Barcelona1.27 xGParis Saint Germain1.64 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 1.27 xG · Paris Saint Germain 1.64 xG.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1Barcelona
0Draws
1Paris Saint-Germain
Barcelona — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League1–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Barcelona · UEFA Champions League2–3
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
Barcelona / Paris Saint-Germain
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Oct 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4