PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTCFull timeRCDE StadiumFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEspanyolReal Betis
Shots14 shots/match▲12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners10 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match4 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match▲6 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsEspanyol · Real Betis14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolReal BetisBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match11 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Betis have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%▲PossessionEspanyol · Real Betis50.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEspanyolReal BetisBaseline
Possession41.9%50.3%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Espanyol favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · Real Betis in 6 · 6 too close

1.38 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲14.6 shots/match
13.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲11 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/84.63 shots/match
4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲3.88 shots/match
41.9%Possessionseason · 8/850.3%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/85.13 corners/match
5.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/85.88 corners/match
1.75 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 8/82.13 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/88.88 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Espanyol17.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Espanyol66.7
Real Betis76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Espanyol34.2
Real Betis69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Espanyol92.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Espanyol47.5
Real Betis21.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Espanyol42.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Espanyol63.8
Real Betis52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.4 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.2 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/553.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/57.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲14.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/84.63 shots/match
41.9%Possession8/850.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/88.88 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13.1 shots/matchShots8/8▲14.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/84.63 shots/match
41.9%Possession8/850.3%
4.13 corners/matchCorners8/85.13 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/88.88 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 4 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/41.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.6 shots/matchShots5/4▲14.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/44.5 shots/match
45.8%Possession5/450.5%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/46 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards5/42.75 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/49.75 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsEspanyolReal Betis
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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