PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Reale Arena

Real Sociedad 0–1 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Rayo Vallecano won 0–1.

Shots
107
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.790.8
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Rayo Vallecano beat Real Sociedad 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Sociedad – Rayo Vallecano): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.79–0.8, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.25 corners/match ●CornersReal Sociedad · Rayo Vallecano6.63 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadRayo VallecanoBaseline
Corners7.25 corners/match6.63 corners/match5.19 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rayo Vallecano show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Rayo Vallecano's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Sociedad · Rayo Vallecano12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadRayo VallecanoBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against14.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsReal Sociedad 10 shots, Rayo Vallecano 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsReal Sociedad 3 shots, Rayo Vallecano 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG0.8 xGReal Sociedad 0.79 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.8 xG
  • Possession51%49%Real Sociedad 51%, Rayo Vallecano 49%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersReal Sociedad 7 corners, Rayo Vallecano 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls21 foulsReal Sociedad 13 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 21 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsReal Sociedad 1 card, Rayo Vallecano 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 81′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGonçalo Guedes · Real Sociedad · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 25′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJorge de Frutos · Rayo Vallecano · 37′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSergio Gómez · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 49′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 84′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.81 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Pacha · Rayo Vallecano · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.81 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Real Sociedad
3Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–2
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–2
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0
Rayo Vallecano — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–2
Real Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Sociedad favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Sociedad8 matchesRayo Vallecano8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.49 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.8 shots/match
4.25 shots/matchShots on target8/84.25 shots/match
52.4%Possession8/8● 54.1%
7.25 corners/match ●Corners8/86.63 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/82.88 cards/match
15 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal SociedadRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headReal Sociedad — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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