PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereFull-time recap

Oviedo

WLLLW
0–2Full-time recap

Levante

LDWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOviedoLevante
Shots13 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession57%43%
Corners9 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo, Levante. A second useful context is: Levante's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Oviedo, Levante.

3.75 days▲Rest daysOviedo · Levante7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOviedoLevanteBaseline
Rest days3.75 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Levante show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Levante's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.25 shots/match▲ShotsOviedo · Levante10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOviedoLevanteBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match10.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match17.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Levante's recent record differs from the season

weak

Levante's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Oviedo favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Levante in 7 · 6 too close

0.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/81.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
8.25 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲10.1 shots/match
18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/817.5 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲3.5 shots/match
6.75 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲5.63 shots/match
40.3%Possessionseason · 8/839.1%
3.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/82.13 corners/match
6.63 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 8/88 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCardsseason · 8/8▲2.38 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/814.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/8▲25%
38%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲88%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Oviedo10
Levante2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Oviedo3.3
Levante45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Oviedo5.8
Levante10.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Oviedo27.5
Levante67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Oviedo60
Levante70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Oviedo27.5
Levante5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Oviedo15.6
Levante35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲11 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.8 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/544.8%
5 corners/matchCorners5/52.8 corners/match
3.2 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls5/515.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲10.1 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.5 shots/match
40.3%Possession8/839.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/82.13 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/814.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 8 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲1.63 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲10.1 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.5 shots/match
40.3%Possession8/839.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/82.13 corners/match
2.88 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/814.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲1.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.5 shots/matchShots4/5▲11.4 shots/match
2.25 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲3.8 shots/match
39%Possession4/545%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/52.4 corners/match
1.75 cards/matchCards4/52.2 cards/match
8.75 fouls/matchFouls4/514.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

3.75 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOviedoLevante
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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